Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

How to challenge a friend

1. Open the live market in Sidebet and choose YES or NO.
2. Set the challenge size and send the generated link to a friend.
3. Your friend takes the other side. Each person controls and signs for their own position.
4. When the underlying market resolves, Sidebet updates the head-to-head record.

Resolution information

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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